A day after the Election Commission of India announced the schedule for elections in five states, the BJP received a big jold from ABP News-CVoter suvery, which predicted that the party is bound to lose three states, where the party is in power presently. They are Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh.
The opinion poll has predicted that the Congress is best placed in Rajasthan, where its state president Sachin Pilot is the first choice of the voters for the chief minister’s post. It also said that Congress is likely to return power in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisghar also, after a gap of 15 years. In Rajasthan, it will make a comeback, where Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje seems to be struggling against a strong anti-incumbency factor.
However, the survey says that the gap between two partie sin Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisghar is very narrow and the tide may turn in the favour of either of the two main parties.
The opinion poll has said that if the Assembly polls are held now, the Congress is likely to win 142 seats in Rajasthan against the BJP’s 56. Sachin Pilot leads Vasundhara Raje as the popular choice for the chief minister’s post with 36 per cent voters preferring him, while the latter is the first choice for 27 per cent. Former chief minister and Congress leader Ashok Gehlot enjoys the backing of 24 per cent voters.
The survey has predicted 122 seats for the Congress in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh Assembly and 47 seats for the opposition party in the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly. The BJP has been projected to bag 108 and 40 seats in these two states respectively.
Interestingly, no Congress leader is in a position to match with the popularity of both the BJP Chief Ministers in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisghar. Both Shivraj Singh Chouhan and Raman Singh are the first choice of the voters for the hot seat, despite anti-incumbency sentiments against their governments.
The Congress and the BJP have been predicted to bag 42.2 and 41.5 per cent votes in Madhya Pradesh and 38.9 and 38.2 per cent votes in Chhattisgarh respectively. There is, however, a huge gap in the projected vote share of the Congress and the BJP in Rajasthan, with the opposition party being backed by 49.9 per cent voters against the 34.3 per cent share for the ruling dispensation.