Former chief minister Omar Abdullah-led National Conference is liekly to emerge as the single largest party, if assembly elections are held now in Jammu & Kashmir. This was indicated at a state wide survey in J&K conducted by India TV-CNX recently.
The survey says, NC can win 31 assembly seats, while BJP can win 23 seats, followed by Mehbooba Mufti’s People’s Democratic Party (PDP) which can win 16 seats. Congress has chances of winning only seven seats, with ten seats going to ‘Others’. ‘Others’ include independents, J&K National Panthers Party and Sajjad Lone’s J&K People’s Conference.
In the 2014 J&K assembly elections, PDP had emerged as the single largest party winning 28 seats, followed by BJP 25 seats, National Conference 15 and Congress 12 seats. Seven seats went to Independents and ‘Others’ in the 87-seat assembly.
Vote share wise, National Conference may garner 26.94 per cent, BJP may get 26.1 pc, PDP may get 15.63 pc, and Congress may get 16 pc votes. There may be a 15.72 pc jump in NC’s vote share compared to its performance in the last 2014 assembly elections. In 2014 assembly polls, BJP had scored 32.65 pc, Congress 23.07 pc, PDP 20.72 pc and NC had polled 11.22 pc votes.