A poll conducted by Axis My India – India Today and Aaj Tak predicts a range of 102 to 120 seats for the BJP, seeking a fourth straight term in Madhya Pradesh and 104 to 122 for the Congress. But a Times Now- CNX survey predicts a clear majority for the BJP with 126 seats, while it gives the Congress 89 seats, a marked improvement over its tally in the last election but still trailing the BJP.
India TV poll gives BJP 122-130 seats against its 165 in 2013 and Congress 86-92 seats as opposed to its 58 seats in 2013. The Republic Jan Ki Baat survey predicts 108-128 seats fopr the BJP, 95 -111 for the Congress. Madhya Pradesh has 230 seats and the majority mark for a party to win is 116.
In neighbouring Chhattisgarh too the Times Now-CNX exit poll gives the BJP a majority, just about, at 46, and the Congress 35. it predicts that the ambitious partnership between former Congressman Ajit Jogi and Mayawati’s BSP will get 7 seats. India TV’s survey too gives BJP the state at the upper end of a range of 42 to 50 seats, the Congress 32 to 38 and Jogi-BSP 6 to 8.
The CVoter – Republic TV poll, however shows a closer fight , giving BJP 35-43 seats and the Congress 40-50 and the Jogi-BSP combine 3-7 seats. The Axis My India – India Today and Aaj Tak poll, however, shows Congress comfortably ahead at 55-65 seats and BJP trailing at 21-31. Almost all polls show that Maya-Jogi combine, which was hoping to play the kingmaker, would end with seats in the range of 3-8. Chhattisgarh has 90 assembly seats and a party needs 46 to form government.